Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.162733e-05 2.616401e-05 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000059
2025-08-03 1.732288e-05 2.342015e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077
2025-08-10 1.326418e-05 1.988424e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000053 0.000069 0.000089
2025-08-17 9.669065e-06 1.613750e-05 0.000025 0.000037 0.000052 0.000071 0.000096
2025-08-24 7.271421e-06 1.349001e-05 0.000022 0.000035 0.000052 0.000074 0.000103
2025-08-31 5.786792e-06 1.185357e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000113
2025-09-07 4.495382e-06 1.024292e-05 0.000019 0.000034 0.000055 0.000082 0.000120
2025-09-14 3.354491e-06 8.620820e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000054 0.000084 0.000126
2025-09-21 2.496930e-06 7.293398e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000086 0.000131
2025-09-28 1.788976e-06 6.052476e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000087 0.000136
2025-10-05 1.403237e-06 5.394852e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000054 0.000090 0.000144
2025-10-12 1.118017e-06 4.884469e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000056 0.000094 0.000152
2025-10-19 8.321847e-07 4.334986e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000058 0.000100 0.000165
2025-10-26 7.290467e-07 4.284591e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000063 0.000111 0.000184
2025-11-02 4.976624e-07 3.673076e-06 0.000012 0.000031 0.000065 0.000116 0.000195
2025-11-09 2.695275e-07 2.834948e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000063 0.000116 0.000200
2025-11-16 1.430876e-07 2.246302e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000062 0.000118 0.000207
2025-11-23 8.207938e-08 1.903867e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000064 0.000123 0.000218
2025-11-30 3.885850e-08 1.548895e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000064 0.000126 0.000226
2025-12-07 1.283512e-08 1.189007e-06 0.000007 0.000026 0.000063 0.000127 0.000232
2025-12-14 2.788099e-09 9.090241e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000128 0.000238
2025-12-21 1.298227e-10 6.611697e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000128 0.000242
2025-12-28 1.283563e-14 5.435136e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000062 0.000133 0.000253